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Table 3 Determinants of the decision to naturalise, multinomial probit marginal effects

From: From immigrants to (non-)citizens: political economy of naturalisations in Latvia

 

Not willing to naturalise

Plans to naturalise in the future

Naturalised less than 5 years ago or currently naturalising

Naturalised more than 5 years ago

Age

0.014***

−0.008***

−0.006***

0.000

 

(0.002)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Male

0.101**

−0.020

−0.103***

0.022

 

(0.043)

(0.049)

(0.022)

(0.036)

Married

−0.117***

0.051

0.021

0.045

 

(0.042)

(0.031)

(0.016)

(0.046)

Has a child under 18

0.029

0.022

−0.011

−0.040

 

(0.089)

(0.033)

(0.057)

(0.039)

Unemployed

−0.128

−0.098

0.102

0.125

 

(0.099)

(0.074)

(0.101)

(0.118)

Works in public sector

−0.084

−0.062

0.041

0.105**

 

(0.084)

(0.066)

(0.032)

(0.048)

Lives in rural area

−0.007

0.048

0.057

−0.097

 

(0.084)

(0.093)

(0.088)

(0.081)

Low income

0.090

−0.011

−0.015

−0.064

 

(0.060)

(0.037)

(0.021)

(0.053)

Non-reported income

0.146*

−0.075

−0.047**

−0.023

 

(0.078)

(0.059)

(0.019)

(0.038)

Years of education

−0.019**

−0.001

0.011*

0.009

 

(0.009)

(0.004)

(0.006)

(0.008)

Good knowledge of Latvian

−0.209***

−0.212***

−0.017

0.439***

 

(0.061)

(0.037)

(0.047)

(0.075)

Poor knowledge of Latvian

0.388***

0.019

−0.132***

−0.274***

 

(0.043)

(0.043)

(0.037)

(0.034)

Former migrant

0.140**

−0.040

0.029

−0.130***

 

(0.071)

(0.074)

(0.030)

(0.047)

Likely to migrate

0.022

0.041

−0.104**

0.041

 

(0.042)

(0.044)

(0.044)

(0.056)

Municipality unempl. rate 2007

−0.019

0.006

−0.020

0.033***

 

(0.017)

(0.015)

(0.012)

(0.010)

Municipality share of non-citizens 2007

−0.002

0.001

0.017***

−0.016**

 

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.006)

Pieriga province

−0.013

−0.111***

0.211***

−0.086

 

(0.064)

(0.040)

(0.049)

(0.062)

Vidzeme province

−0.208**

−0.146*

0.492***

−0.137

 

(0.099)

(0.084)

(0.161)

(0.096)

Kurzeme province

−0.055

0.087*

0.183***

−0.215***

 

(0.042)

(0.048)

(0.064)

(0.023)

Zemgale province

−0.051

−0.124**

0.313**

−0.138

 

(0.090)

(0.057)

(0.132)

(0.085)

Latgale province

0.101**

0.010

0.083**

−0.194***

 

(0.051)

(0.037)

(0.039)

(0.052)

  1. n = 624; Wald chi2 = 379.65; Prob > chi2 = 0.000; Log pseudolikelihood = −591.759.
  2. Note: Reference group - high income, average knowledge of Latvian, lives in Riga. Robust standard error clustered at municipality level in parentheses.
  3. * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01.