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Table 2 Changes in immigrant shares across local authorities, Census and Annual Population Survey

From: Crime and immigration: new evidence from England and Wales

 

Dependent variable: change in immigrant share

 

Census, 2001-2011

Annual Population Survey, 2004/5-2010/11

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

A. England and Wales

    

Predicted change in immigrant share

0.353 (0.059)

0.359 (0.067)

0.560 (0.098)

0.574 (0.095)

High historical immigrant share

-0.050 (0.010)

-0.044 (0.011)

-0.054 (0.012)

-0.054 (0.013)

Controls

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Police force area fixed effects

No

Yes

No

Yes

F-test

20.18

15.04

18.15

19.02

Sample size

347

347

347

347

B. London

    

Predicted change in immigrant share

0.150 (0.105)

0.153 (0.107)

0.698 (0.130)

0.674 (0.130)

High historical immigrant share

-0.020 (0.016)

-0.021 (0.016)

-0.063 (0.016)

-0.062 (0.016)

Controls

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Police force area fixed effects

No

Yes

No

Yes

F-test

1.05

1.05

14.98

13.85

Sample size

33

33

33

33

  1. Notes: Weighted by population. High Historical Immigrant Share is a dummy variable equal to one if the Immigrant Share in 1991 Census of the local authority is greater than 0.20. Controls are: population growth, the change in the unemployment rate, the change in the share of males aged 15–39 and a dummy variable for the 33 London boroughs. Robust standard errors in parentheses.