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Table 6 Predicted intended migration durations

From: Source country characteristics and immigrants’ optimal migration duration decision

  Turkish Greek Italian Spanish
A) Duration of residence = 0     
Age at arrival = 20 7.29 10.08 11.38 10.90
Age at arrival = 30 3.64 7.73 10.36 9.05
Age at arrival = 4 00.00 5.38 9.34 7.20
B) Duration of residence = 10     
Age at arrival = 20 31.04 31.66 30.58 31.62
Age at arrival = 30 24.27 26.18 26.43 26.65
Age at arrival = 40 20.63 23.83 25.41 24.79
C) Duration of residence = 20     
Age at arrival = 20 61.05 59.49 56.03 58.60
Age at arrival = 30 54.28 54.02 51.88 53.62
Age at arrival = 40 47.51 48.54 47.74 48.64
  1. Notes: Est imates are based on the parameters in specification 1 in Table 2. The predicted migrat ion durat ions are given for an immigrant who arrives in Germany in 1984 and who is unmarried.