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Table 2 Static flow model estimates with alternative measurements for the welfare state

From: EU enlargement and the race to the bottom of welfare states

Explanatory variables

Dependent variable: Δm ij,t  = annual change in the diaspora ratio

 

(6)

(7)

Destination country variables X j,t-1

Annual nominal net wage in 10,000 Euro in j

5.108***

4.391*

 

(1.610)

(2.467)

Unemployment rate in % in j

-0.401***

-0.420***

 

(0.098)

(0.115)

Population in destination country j in mio. persons

0.038*

0.039**

 

(0.020)

(0.019)

Southern European country (0/1)

9.272***

9.305***

 

(1.722)

(1.704)

Regime dummy (restricted freedom of m.) in j (0/1)

-11.059

-9.450

 

(7.794)

(8.401)

Net replacement rate in % in j

2.770

 
 

(4.860)

 

Annual replacement income in 10,000 Euro in j

 

1.546

  

(2.971)

Source-destination (network) effects N ij,t-1

Diaspora stock in j in mio. persons

0.508

0.710

 

(2.842)

(2.844)

Education level (ISCED) in the age-specific diaspora

2.964

3.043

 

(1.845)

(1.950)

Proportion of females in the age-specific diaspora

-1.532

-1.592

 

(3.130)

(3.241)

Proportion of employed in the age-specific diaspora

-3.480

-3.716

 

(4.150)

(4.055)

Source specific factors S i,t-1

Education level (ISCED) in the source cohort

-3.515

-3.584

 

(4.237)

(4.327)

Proportion of employed in the source cohort

-18.296**

-18.679**

 

(8.632)

(8.133)

Interaction of push-pull factors and the migration regime I ij,t-1 a

Annual nominal net wage x regime dummy

-4.129**

-3.200

 

(1.606)

(2.531)

Unemployment rate x regime dummy

0.505***

0.537***

 

(0.145)

(0.149)

Diaspora stock in j in mio. persons x regime dummy

-1.393

-1.595

 

(3.860)

(3.891)

Net replacement rate x regime dummy

-2.668

 
 

(4.487)

 

Annual replacement income x regime dummy

 

-1.925

  

(2.852)

Proportion of unemployed in the source cohort x

-4.262

-3.813

regime dummy

(16.629)

(16.311)

Source cohort dummies

Yes

Yes

R-squared

0.475

0.475

Number of observations

432

432

  1. *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01. Standard errors that are clustered by destination country and time periods are shown in parentheses. I use the STATA routine provided by Cameron et al. ([2011]) to control for two-way clustered error terms. In all regressions, time dummies and a constant are included. aFurther variables are included: see Additional file 1 for a table with all covariates. All explanatory variables are lagged by one year except for the migration regime dummy.