From: Projections of potential flows to the enlarging EU from Ukraine, Croatia and other Eastern neighbors
Specification 1 | Specification 2 | Specification 3 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coeff. | t-value | Coeff. | t-value | Coeff. | t-value | |
Czech Republica | 0.0086142 | 0.94 | 0.0137581 | 1.61 | 0.0363270 | 3.37** |
Estoniaa | 0.0195203 | 1.63 | 0.0207826 | 1.68* | 0.0170489 | 1.13 |
Hungarya | 0.0058682 | 0.66 | 0.0099457 | 1.11 | 0.0275268 | 2.81** |
Latviaa | 0.0136640 | 1.58 | 0.0136286 | 1.50 | −0.0032966 | −0.31 |
Lithuaniaa | 0.0298836 | 2.61** | 0.0304373 | 2.54** | 0.0058955 | 0.39 |
Slovak Republica | 0.0120985 | 1.19 | 0.0130839 | 1.27 | 0.0101911 | 0.62 |
Sloveniaa | 0.0121251 | 1.17 | 0.0173840 | 1.74* | 0.0415625 | 3.23** |
Czech Republic after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0000516 | 0.00 |
Estonia after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0334383 | 1.65* |
Hungary after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0065572 | 0.57 |
Latvia after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0456591 | 2.65** |
Lithuania after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0538456 | 2.18** |
Slovak Republic after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0098218 | 0.68 |
Slovenia after accession | - | - | - | - | 0.0034885 | 0.19 |
Lagged net migration rate | −0.8621185 | −4.14** | −0.8742497 | −4.12** | −0.8961853 | −4.21** |
Free movementb | 0.0255262 | 3.24** | - | - | - | - |
First year of free movement | - | - | 0.0093630 | 0.83 | 0.0060164 | 0.58 |
Second year of free movement | - | - | 0.0279214 | 2.44** | 0.0271822 | 2.56** |
Third year of free movement | - | - | 0.0367123 | 2.84** | 0.0389501 | 3.13** |
Fourth year of free movement | - | - | 0.0411250 | 2.96** | 0.0467449 | 3.47** |
Fifth year of free movement | - | - | 0.0288150 | 1.08 | 0.0326838 | 1.30 |
Sixth year of free movement | - | - | 0.0257276 | 1.10 | 0.0328991 | 1.50 |
Post accession | - | - | - | - | −0.0089389 | −0.63 |
Partial restrictions dummyb | 0.0046229 | 0.88 | 0.0057199 | 1.23 | 0.0038009 | 0.69 |
(Log) Lagged PCI-ratio (in PPP) destination to home country | 0.0175044 | 1.67* | 0.0197802 | 1.91* | 0.0313120 | 2.90** |
(Log) Lagged employment rate home country | −0.0497116 | −0.58 | −0.0892714 | −1.07 | −0.2786510 | −3.11** |
(Log) Lagged employment rate destination country | 0.0839770* | 1.72* | 0.0782003 | 1.62 | 0.0593511 | 1.36 |
(Log) Lagged share of 20–39 years old in destination country | 0.1121061 | 1.32 | 0.1124977 | 1.34 | 0.1133294 | 1.32 |
(Log) Lagged share of 20–39 years old in home country | 0.0096709 | 0.03 | −0.0434662 | −0.15 | −0.0674844 | −0.12 |
Delta of (log) PCI-ratio (in PPP) destination to home country | 0.1014673 | 1.3 | 0.0602686 | 0.71 | 0.0743435 | 0.94 |
Delta of (log) employment rate home country | 0.2344753 | 1.27 | 0.2308804 | 1.26 | 0.4156827** | 2.08** |
Delta of (log) employment rate destination country | −0.0339566 | −0.19 | 0.0634800 | 0.37 | 0.1889106 | 1.17 |
Lagged stock of migrants from home in destination country | 0.0000002** | 1.98** | 0.0000002** | 2.12** | 0.0000002** | 2.29** |
Constant | −0.2105243 | −0.51 | 0.0030846 | 0.01 | 0.9299053** | 2.24** |
Number of observations | 1,204 | 1,204 | 1,204 | |||
R-squared | 0.361 | 0.368 | 0.380 | |||
(Wald test for) common intercept | Rejected | Rejected | Rejected |