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Table 7 Predicted net-immigration from Croatia – Accession scenario

From: Projections of potential flows to the enlarging EU from Ukraine, Croatia and other Eastern neighbors

Stock of Nationals from Croatia in Low country-specific migration cost
  2010 2015 2020 Change 2010-2020 Relative inflow f
Austria 70,000e 80,646 104,346 34,346 0.4
Belgium 808 6,157 24,658 23,850 0.2
Denmark 485 6,202 24,953 24,468 0.4
Finland 275 4,999 22,873 22,598 0.4
France 17,185d 22,585 41,137 23,952 0.0
Germany 234,381 252,576 283,978 49,597 0.1
Greece 17,185d 21,323 38,608 21,423 0.2
Ireland 503 6,936 26,526 26,023 0.6
Italy 21,261 26,066 44,020 22,759 0.0
Netherlands 1,464 8,155 27,883 26,419 0.2
Portugal 82 1,953 16,960 16,878 0.2
Spain 1,727 4,775 21,006 19,279 0.0
Sweden 2,400 8,265 27,285 24,885 0.3
United Kingdom 17,185d 23,588 43,148 25,963 0.0
Total 263,386 474,225 747,382 362,441 0.1
Stock of Nationals from Croatia in Medium country-specific migration cost
  2010 2015 2020 Change 2010-2020 Relative inflow f
Austria 70,000e 72,682 89,297 19,297 0.2
Belgium 808 −1,892 9,206 8,398 0.1
Denmark 485 −1,842 9,522 9,037 0.2
Finland 275 −3,061 7,372 7,097 0.1
France 17,185d 14,536 25,688 8,503 0.0
Germany 234,381 244,737 269,521 35,140 0.0
Greece 17,185d 13,254 23,062 5,877 0.1
Ireland 503 −1,096 11,158 10,655 0.2
Italy 21,261 18,007 28,526 7,265 0.0
Netherlands 1,464 126 12,527 11,063 0.1
Portugal 82 −6,154 1,239 1,157 0.0
Spain 1,727 −3,312 5,379 3,652 0.0
Sweden 2,400 224 11,873 9,473 0.1
United Kingdom 17,185d 15,556 27,778 10,593 0.0
Total 263,386 361,765 532,147 147,206 0.0
Stock of Nationals from Croatia in Medium country-specific migration cost
  2010 2015 2020 Change 2010-2020 Relative inflow f
Austria 70,000e 67,098 78,337 8,337 0.1
Belgium 808 −7,536 −2,039 −2,847 0.0
Denmark 485 −7,482 −1,709 −2,194 0.0
Finland 275 −8,711 −3,908 −4,183 −0.1
France 17,185d 8,893 14,446 −2,739 0.0
Germany 234,381 239,239 258,983 24,602 0.0
Greece 17,185d 7,596 11,750 −5,435 0.0
Ireland 503 −6,727 −28 −531 0.0
Italy 21,261 12,358 17,251 −4,010 0.0
Netherlands 1,464 −5,502 1,350 −114 0.0
Portugal 82 −11,837 −10,198 −10,280 −0.1
Spain 1,727 −8,981 −5,990 −7,717 0.0
Sweden 2,400 −5,414 656 −1,744 0.0
United Kingdom 17,185d 9,924 16,590 −595 0.0
Total 263,386 282,918 375,489 −9,452 0.0
  1. dStock for 2010 imputed by mean of countries without missing information; eEstimate of stock for 2010 taken from http://www.integrationsfonds.at/oeif_dossiers/kroatische_migrantinnen_in_oesterreich/. fAccumulated inflows relative to the population in 2010 (in percent).