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Table 11 Household determinants of the probability to send a migrant

From: Migrating out of a crowded labor market: evidence from Egypt

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

 

OLS

IV

IV

IV

   

Urban

Rural

Network

0.249

1.163

1.101

1.358

 

(0.066)

(0.324)

(0.552)

(0.480)

Wealth

0.017

0.020

0.020

0.015

 

(0.003)

(0.006)

(0.009)

(0.011)

Wealth2

0.004

0.013

0.013

0.005

 

(0.002)

(0.005)

(0.011)

(0.009)

Network × Wealth

−0.130

−0.387

−0.153

−0.293

 

(0.049)

(0.168)

(0.236)

(0.188)

Network × wealth2

−0.145

−0.450

−0.617

−0.333

 

(0.037)

(0.162)

(0.409)

(0.152)

Household size

0.005

0.005

0.005

0.006

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.002)

Share of working-age men

0.110

0.125

0.076

0.183

 

(0.015)

(0.017)

(0.019)

(0.031)

Dependency rate

0.032

0.047

0.047

0.061

 

(0.013)

(0.016)

(0.021)

(0.027)

Years of schooling, HH. head

0.001

0.001

0.000

0.002

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Male hh. head

−0.017

−0.017

−0.024

-0.011

 

(0.006)

(0.007)

(0.009)

(0.011)

Formal employment

−0.038

−0.026

0.015

−0.085

 

(0.018)

(0.020)

(0.023)

(0.034)

Observations

10219

10219

5875

4343

  1. Marginal effects at mean of regressors. Standard errors in parentheses. Survey weighted probit/iv-probit model, standard errors clustered at district level. Two-wave panel sample of households. Regressors are observed in t=1998, 2006. Dependent variable is 1 if a member of the household emigrated after t. The mean value of the dependent variable is 0.045. Model includes governorate fixed-effects, urban dummy (col. 1–2), year dummy. IV: network variable is instrumented using old migration rates (based on pre-1998 departures when t=2006, pre-1990 when t=1998) in level and interaction terms
  2. *** p<0.01; ** p<0.05; * p<0.1