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Table 9 Household determinants of the probability to send a migrant

From: Migrating out of a crowded labor market: evidence from Egypt

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

 

OLS

IV

OLS

IV

IV

IV

     

urban

rural

Network

0.166

0.932

0.177

0.903

0.678

1.216

 

(0.059)

(0.306)

(0.059)

(0.294)

(0.390)

(0.467)

Wealth

0.018

0.024

0.016

0.022

0.029

0.018

 

(0.003)

(0.006)

(0.003)

(0.006)

(0.008)

(0.010)

Network × wealth

−0.037

−0.174

−0.042

−0.197

−0.555

−0.107

 

(0.036)

(0.108)

(0.038)

(0.112)

(0.251)

(0.139)

Household size

0.004

0.005

0.005

0.005

0.005

0.006

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.002)

Share of working-age men

  

0.109

0.126

0.071

0.188

   

(0.015)

(0.017)

(0.016)

(0.032)

Dependency rate

  

0.030

0.044

0.041

0.061

   

(0.013)

(0.015)

(0.019)

(0.026)

Yrs of schooling, HH. head

0.000

0.000

0.001

0.001

0.000

0.002

 

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Male hh. head

−0.008

−0.008

−0.017

−0.018

−0.023

−0.011

 

(0.006)

(0.007)

(0.006)

(0.007)

(0.008)

(0.012)

Formal employment

−0.032

−0.027

−0.040

−0.031

0.014

−0.097

 

(0.018)

(0.019)

(0.018)

(0.020)

(0.022)

(0.034)

Observations

10,219

10,219

10,219

10,219

5875

4343

  1. Marginal effects at mean of regressors. Standard errors in parentheses. Survey weighted probit/IV-probit model, standard errors clustered at district level. Two-wave panel sample of households. Regressors are observed in t=1998, 2006. Dependent variable is 1 if a member of the household emigrated after t. The mean value of the dependent variable is 0.045. Model includes urban and year indicator variables, governorate fixed-effects. IV: network variable is instrumented using old migration rates (based on pre-1998 departures when t=2006, pre-1990 when t=1998) in level and interaction terms
  2. *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1