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Table 10 Cocaine seizures in Colombia and other economic variables in Mexico or the USA

From: Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

Panel A: exports

Colombia, exports

Mexico, exports

Mexico

United States

World

United States

World

 Monthly data, January 2004–April 2012

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

 Cocaine seized by Colombian

82.65166

0.44371

0.39775

−0.03587

0.00789

 Authorities

(66.98469)

(1.65411)

(0.65803)

(0.22173)

(0.15651)

 Observations

100

100

100

100

100

 R-squared

0.01530

0.00073

0.00371

0.00027

0.00003

Panel B: economic activity

 

Employment

Unemployment

Weekly

Real GDP

 
  

hours worked

  

 Quarterly data, Q12005-Q42011

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

 

 Cocaine Seized by Colombian

−0.00003

0.00005

−0.00339

−0.00344

 

 Authorities

(0.00009)

(0.00008)

(0.00682)

(0.00779)

 

 Observations

28

28

28

28

 

 R-squared

0.00326

0.01545

0.00939

0.00745

 

Panel C: drug seizures by

 Mexican authorities

Opium

Marijuana

   

 Quarterly data, Q12005-Q42011

(1)

(2)

   

 Cocaine seized by Colombian

−0.13952

−0.20048

   

 Authorities

(0.16537)

(0.17662)

   

 Observations

28

28

   

 R-squared

0.02665

0.04722

   
  1. Standard errors in brackets. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.01
  2. Data on Exports in millions of US dollars. Cocaine seizures in tons
  3. Monthly data on exports from January 2004 to April 2012 from the IMF, Direction of Trade Statistics
  4. Monthly data on cocaine seizures from the Colombian Ministry of Defense
  5. Quarterly data on employment, unemployment and weekly hours worked from the ENOE. Quarterly data on real GDP in 2008 pesos from INEGI
  6. Quarterly data on seizures of opium and marijuana from SEDENA