Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

Table 5 OLS and second stage IV results: international migration

Geographic variation:	State level		Municipal level
Data:	Panel		Panel		Cross section
Model:	OLS	IV	OLS	IV	OLS	IV
Model:	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
Annual homicides, per 100,000 inhabitants	0.00016	0.00482**	−0.00009	−0.00605***
Annual homicides, per 100,000 inhabitants	(0.00028)	(0.00245)	(0.00012)	(0.00203)
Homicides 2007–2010, per 100,000 inhabitants					−0.00106***	−0.00568*
Homicides 2007–2010, per 100,000 inhabitants					(0.00037)	(0.00340)
Observations	224	224	14,268	14,268	2425	2425

Robust standard errors in parentheses
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1
Notes for Tables 5 and 6: Municipal controls include average homicides from 2003 to 2004, population density, average years of schooling, % of HHs with running water, unemployment in 2010 and 2000, income per capita in 2000, kilometers of state highways in 2005, and year fixed effects for the panel. State controls include average homicides from 2003 to 2004, population density, annual real GDP per capita and unemployment, non-federal highways in 2005 and year fixed effects
Source: Mexican Census, as accessed through IPUMS, ENOE, INEGI, Colombian Ministry of Defense