Table 3 Probit model marginal effects for the probability of alignment of labor market status between contemporaneous 1998 or 2006 and 2012 or 2006 retrospective data by sex, individuals in base year (1998 or 2006) and present in the other waves, aged 20–44 in base year of the pair
From: Comparing retrospective and panel data collection methods to assess labor market dynamics
| Â | 2012 retrospective versus panel | 2006 retrospective versus panel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
| Â | 1998 | 1998 | 2006 | 2006 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Â | Male | Female | Male | Female | Male | Female |
Reference case probability: | 0.897 | 0.856 | 0.871 | 0.804 | 0.933 | 0.945 |
Own education (univ. omitted) | ||||||
 Illit. or R&W | − 0.098* (0.040) | 0.063 (0.033) | − 0.112*** (0.026) | 0.036 (0.019) | − 0.086** (0.033) | 0.070* (0.030) |
 Basic | − 0.152*** (0.039) | 0.070 (0.038) | − 0.111*** (0.025) | 0.038 (0.022) | − 0.066 (0.035) | 0.051 (0.035) |
 Secondary | − 0.108*** (0.032) | − 0.016 (0.029) | − 0.122*** (0.020) | 0.001 (0.017) | − 0.073** (0.027) | − 0.024 (0.028) |
Age group in base year (20–24 omit.) | ||||||
 25–29 | − 0.076* (0.036) | − 0.016 (0.023) | − 0.026 (0.021) | − 0.011 (0.013) | − 0.038 (0.032) | − 0.009 (0.023) |
 30–34 | − 0.024 (0.042) | 0.012 (0.023) | 0.016 (0.024) | − 0.008 (0.016) | − 0.034 (0.035) | 0.029 (0.022) |
 35–39 | 0.072 (0.043) | 0.010 (0.023) | 0.014 (0.026) | 0.001 (0.017) | 0.058 (0.037) | − 0.012 (0.024) |
 40–44 | 0.073 (0.045) | 0.014 (0.026) | 0.016 (0.028) | 0.033* (0.016) | 0.046 (0.037) | 0.021 (0.024) |
Region (Gr. Cairo omit.) | ||||||
 Alex. and Suez Canal | − 0.004 (0.040) | 0.056* (0.027) | − 0.011 (0.030) | 0.010 (0.022) | − 0.005 (0.032) | − 0.013 (0.023) |
 Urban Lower | − 0.018 (0.039) | 0.045 (0.027) | 0.006 (0.027) | 0.043* (0.019) | − 0.028 (0.030) | − 0.003 (0.020) |
 Urban Upper | 0.009 (0.036) | 0.034 (0.026) | 0.007 (0.026) | 0.034 (0.020) | −0.017 (0.030) | −0.050* (0.022) |
 Rural Lower | − 0.049 (0.037) | 0.038 (0.026) | − 0.002 (0.024) | 0.030 (0.018) | − 0.052 (0.031) | − 0.035 (0.023) |
 Rural Upper | 0.026 (0.039) | 0.051* (0.026) | 0.023 (0.025) | 0.016 (0.019) | − 0.017 (0.033) | − 0.076** (0.025) |
Consist. respondent (not consist. omit.) | ||||||
 Consist. resp. | − 0.012 (0.026) | − 0.023 (0.020) | − 0.009 (0.015) | 0.001 (0.011) | 0.013 (0.023) | − 0.010 (0.018) |
Contemporaneous emp. status in base year (public wage omit.) | ||||||
 Private formal wage | − 0.370*** (0.055) | − 0.524*** (0.125) | − 0.357*** (0.026) | − 0.550*** (0.069) | − 0.268*** (0.041) | − 0.343*** (0.086) |
 Private informal wage | − 0.399*** (0.052) | − 0.728*** (0.090) | − 0.374*** (0.026) | − 0.618*** (0.055) | − 0.355*** (0.043) | − 0.284** (0.095) |
 Irregular wage | − 0.412*** (0.051) | − 0.648**(0.217) | − 0.255*** (0.032) | − 0.571*** (0.111) | − 0.512*** (0.044) | − 0.179 (0.144) |
 Employers | − 0.479*** (0.047) | − 0.805*** (0.094) | − 0.375*** (0.028) | − 0.757*** (0.064) | − 0.217*** (0.041) | − 0.233 (0.179) |
 Self-employed | − 0.522*** (0.053) | − 0.675*** (0.091) | − 0.400*** (0.031) | − 0.753*** (0.041) | − 0.481*** (0.049) | − 0.313** (0.105) |
 Unpaid family work | − 0.552*** (0.063) | − 0.751*** (0.060) | − 0.510*** (0.035) | − 0.693*** (0.035) | − 0.270*** (0.056) | −0.468*** (0.075) |
 Unemployed | − 0.696*** (0.044) | − 0.792*** (0.045) | − 0.765*** (0.048) | − 0.791*** (0.031) | − 0.794*** (0.035) | − 0.778*** (0.046) |
 OLF | − 0.342*** (0.053) | − 0.013 (0.036) | − 0.306*** (0.032) | 0.004 (0.028) | − 0.455*** (0.043) | − 0.076* (0.033) |
Employment characteristics in the end year | ||||||
Not employed (employed omit.) | − 0.060 (0.054) | 0.254*** (0.045) | − 0.015 (0.035) | 0.078** (0.024) | 0.141*** (0.040) | 0.380*** (0.030) |
Irregular (regular omit.) | − 0.042 (0.037) | − 0.089 (0.079) | − 0.107*** (0.019) | − 0.231** (0.076) | 0.105* (0.042) | − 0.287 (0.150) |
Informal (formal omit) | − 0.024 (0.030) | − 0.147*** (0.035) | − 0.018 (0.019) | − 0.020 (0.031) | − 0.045 (0.026) | − 0.189*** (0.031) |
N (Obs.) | 2160 | 2362 | 5229 | 5395 | 2202 | 2388 |