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Table 2 Multinomial logit estimates of transition probabilities

From: Labor market mobility and the early-career outcomes of immigrant men

  (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Outcome: unemployment
 White Canadian-born (predicted probability) 0.075*** 0.056*** 0.055*** 0.053*** 0.053*** 0.053***
(0.009) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)
 Visible minority Canadian-born 0.006 − 0.010 − 0.010 − 0.004 − 0.005 − 0.008
(0.032) (0.020) (0.019) (0.020) (0.020) (0.020)
 White immigrant − 0.036** − 0.010 − 0.006 − 0.009 − 0.005 − 0.005
(0.017) (0.018) (0.019) (0.018) (0.019) (0.019)
 Visible minority immigrant − 0.012 0.008 0.008 0.007 0.008 0.006
(0.024) (0.025) (0.025) (0.024) (0.024) (0.024)
Outcome: same employer and promoted
 White Canadian-born (predicted probability) 0.337*** 0.356*** 0.357*** 0.353*** 0.354*** 0.356***
(0.017) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018) (0.018)
 Visible minority Canadian-born − 0.063 − 0.060 − 0.066 − 0.054 − 0.057 − 0.055
(0.070) (0.072) (0.069) (0.071) (0.069) (0.069)
 White immigrant − 0.025 − 0.040 − 0.049 − 0.027 − 0.036 − 0.029
(0.051) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055) (0.055)
 Visible minority immigrant − 0.135*** − 0.148*** − 0.147*** − 0.151*** − 0.150*** − 0.153***
(0.042) (0.044) (0.044) (0.043) (0.043) (0.043)
Outcome: same employer and not promoted
 White Canadian-born (predicted probability) 0.462*** 0.485*** 0.489*** 0.491*** 0.495*** 0.495***
(0.017) (0.018) (0.018) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)
 Visible minority Canadian-born 0.071 0.093 0.092 0.076 0.072 0.069
(0.072) (0.072) (0.070) (0.068) (0.068) (0.070)
 White immigrant − 0.024 − 0.066 − 0.069 − 0.077 − 0.078 − 0.055
(0.054) (0.056) (0.056) (0.058) (0.058) (0.056)
 Visible minority immigrant 0.119** 0.078 0.079 0.081 0.083 0.088
(0.060) (0.066) (0.066) (0.064) (0.065) (0.065)
Outcome: new employer
 White Canadian-born (predicted probability) 0.125*** 0.102*** 0.098*** 0.102*** 0.098*** 0.096***
(0.012) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010) (0.010)
 Visible minority Canadian-born − 0.013 − 0.023 − 0.015 − 0.018 − 0.009 − 0.005
(0.040) (0.030) (0.031) (0.034) (0.036) (0.037)
 White immigrant 0.085 0.117* 0.125* 0.114* 0.121* 0.089
(0.063) (0.064) (0.066) (0.066) (0.068) (0.062)
 Visible minority immigrant 0.027 0.061 0.058 0.061 0.058 0.057
(0.049) (0.056) (0.055) (0.054) (0.055) (0.054)
Controls
 Personal and job characteristics   Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
 Occupation    Yes   Yes Yes
 Industry     Yes Yes Yes
 Percentile in wage distribution       Yes
  1. Notes: Robust standard errors clustered at the firm level are reported in parentheses. The estimation sample includes observations from 4907 men. For white Canadians, we report the predicted probability of each transition, while for minority groups, we report the difference between the predicted probabilities for each group and white Canadians
  2. *Significant at the 10% level; **significant at the 5% level; ***significant at the 1% level