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Table 2 Multinomial logit estimates of transition probabilities

From: Labor market mobility and the early-career outcomes of immigrant men

 

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

Outcome: unemployment

 White Canadian-born (predicted probability)

0.075***

0.056***

0.055***

0.053***

0.053***

0.053***

(0.009)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.007)

 Visible minority Canadian-born

0.006

− 0.010

− 0.010

− 0.004

− 0.005

− 0.008

(0.032)

(0.020)

(0.019)

(0.020)

(0.020)

(0.020)

 White immigrant

− 0.036**

− 0.010

− 0.006

− 0.009

− 0.005

− 0.005

(0.017)

(0.018)

(0.019)

(0.018)

(0.019)

(0.019)

 Visible minority immigrant

− 0.012

0.008

0.008

0.007

0.008

0.006

(0.024)

(0.025)

(0.025)

(0.024)

(0.024)

(0.024)

Outcome: same employer and promoted

 White Canadian-born (predicted probability)

0.337***

0.356***

0.357***

0.353***

0.354***

0.356***

(0.017)

(0.018)

(0.018)

(0.018)

(0.018)

(0.018)

 Visible minority Canadian-born

− 0.063

− 0.060

− 0.066

− 0.054

− 0.057

− 0.055

(0.070)

(0.072)

(0.069)

(0.071)

(0.069)

(0.069)

 White immigrant

− 0.025

− 0.040

− 0.049

− 0.027

− 0.036

− 0.029

(0.051)

(0.055)

(0.055)

(0.055)

(0.055)

(0.055)

 Visible minority immigrant

− 0.135***

− 0.148***

− 0.147***

− 0.151***

− 0.150***

− 0.153***

(0.042)

(0.044)

(0.044)

(0.043)

(0.043)

(0.043)

Outcome: same employer and not promoted

 White Canadian-born (predicted probability)

0.462***

0.485***

0.489***

0.491***

0.495***

0.495***

(0.017)

(0.018)

(0.018)

(0.017)

(0.017)

(0.017)

 Visible minority Canadian-born

0.071

0.093

0.092

0.076

0.072

0.069

(0.072)

(0.072)

(0.070)

(0.068)

(0.068)

(0.070)

 White immigrant

− 0.024

− 0.066

− 0.069

− 0.077

− 0.078

− 0.055

(0.054)

(0.056)

(0.056)

(0.058)

(0.058)

(0.056)

 Visible minority immigrant

0.119**

0.078

0.079

0.081

0.083

0.088

(0.060)

(0.066)

(0.066)

(0.064)

(0.065)

(0.065)

Outcome: new employer

 White Canadian-born (predicted probability)

0.125***

0.102***

0.098***

0.102***

0.098***

0.096***

(0.012)

(0.010)

(0.010)

(0.010)

(0.010)

(0.010)

 Visible minority Canadian-born

− 0.013

− 0.023

− 0.015

− 0.018

− 0.009

− 0.005

(0.040)

(0.030)

(0.031)

(0.034)

(0.036)

(0.037)

 White immigrant

0.085

0.117*

0.125*

0.114*

0.121*

0.089

(0.063)

(0.064)

(0.066)

(0.066)

(0.068)

(0.062)

 Visible minority immigrant

0.027

0.061

0.058

0.061

0.058

0.057

(0.049)

(0.056)

(0.055)

(0.054)

(0.055)

(0.054)

Controls

 Personal and job characteristics

 

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

 Occupation

  

Yes

 

Yes

Yes

 Industry

   

Yes

Yes

Yes

 Percentile in wage distribution

     

Yes

  1. Notes: Robust standard errors clustered at the firm level are reported in parentheses. The estimation sample includes observations from 4907 men. For white Canadians, we report the predicted probability of each transition, while for minority groups, we report the difference between the predicted probabilities for each group and white Canadians
  2. *Significant at the 10% level; **significant at the 5% level; ***significant at the 1% level