Does stricter immigration policy affect college enrollment and public-private school choice of natives?

Table 3 LAWA and share of natives attending private school

	Avg. pre-post difference in Arizona	Avg. pre-post difference synth. AZ	DD estimates	Rank (lowest to highest)	P value from one-tailed test, P(Δ≤ΔAZ)
A. Elementary school
Share of native in elementary school attending private school	−0.002	0.001	−0.003	21/45	0.467
By race:
White non-Hispanic	0.002	0.007	−0.005	17/45	0.378
Black	0.010	0.001	0.009	32/45	0.711
Hispanic	0.004	0.003	0.001	30/45	0.667
B. Secondary school
Share of native in secondary school attending private school	−0.002	0.006	−0.008	14/45	0.311
By race:
White non-Hispanic	0.005	0.010	−0.005	15/44	0.341
Black	0.021	0.001	0.020	38/45	0.844
Hispanic	−0.001	0.006	−0.007	18/45	0.400
C. College
Share of native in college attending private school	−0.012	0.001	−0.013	17/45	0.378
By race:
White non-Hispanic	−0.010	0.017	−0.027	4/44	0.091
Black	0.038	0.008	0.030	37/45	0.822
Hispanic	−0.010	−0.012	0.003	26/45	0.578

Notes: Estimates based on IPUMS 5% 2000 Census and 2001–2015 American Community Survey (ACS). The pre-treatment period is 2000–2006, while the post-treatment period is 2007–2015. Synthetic Arizona is constructed by matching on the following: the share of construction industry, the share of agricultural industry, the share of manufacturing industry, the share of foreign-born in the state, the share of non-Hispanic whites in the population, the average age in the state, and the outcome variable itself from 2001 to 2006. The one-tailed test of the significance of the difference-in-difference estimates use the empirical distribution of the placebo effect estimates of LAWA for states in the donor pool. The rankings for white non-Hispanics analyses are out of 44 because Synthetic District of Columbia (D.C.) poorly matches actual D.C. prior to 2007 in these analyses and therefore was excluded from the test